Forecasting and Analytical Research of Cemi in Regard to Global Military-Economic Activity (1973—1982)

Stsepinsky, Yuri

doi:10.31857/S042473880000679-5

English

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Forecasting and Analytical Research of Cemi in Regard to Global Military-Economic Activity (1973—1982)

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Forecasting and Analytical Research of Cemi in Regard to Global Military-Economic Activity (1973—1982)

Annotation

PII

S042473880001181-8-1

DOI

10.31857/S042473880000679-5

Publication type

Article

Status

Published

Authors

Yuri Stsepinsky Send message

Affiliation: Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences (1973—1985), Russian Institute for Strategic Studies (1992—1994), Moscow, Russia
Address: Russian Federation

Edition

Volume 54 Issue 3

Pages

104-110

Abstract

The article looks at the economic-mathematical methods and the development of algorithms and computer software for simulation of foreign military-economic activity. Such a research aimed at the analysis of general indicators and obtaining forecasted strategic estimates in the international relations. It was also focused on the detection of the crisis and conflict situations threatening the national security. The author suggests a logic-functional system for analytical-synthetic processing of big data and heterogeneous factual account data, necessary for analyzing military-economic activities of various countries. This system is grounded on such analytical tools as regression and phase analysis of military expenditures, dynamic econometric model reflecting the balance between the levels of national economic and military development.

Keywords

Forecasting, global econometric model, econometric simulation, military expenditure, military competition, information systems with Big Data, prognosis of crisis situations.

Date of publication

10.10.2018

Number of purchasers

Views

1993

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0.0 (0 votes)

Cite Download pdf

GOST	Stsepinsky Y. Forecasting and Analytical Research of Cemi in Regard to Global Military-Economic Activity (1973—1982) // Economics and the Mathematical Methods. – 2018. – V. 54. – Issue 3 C. 104-110 . URL: https://emmras.ru/s042473880001181-8-1/?version_id=4419. DOI: 10.31857/S042473880000679-5
MLA	Stsepinsky, Yuri "Forecasting and Analytical Research of Cemi in Regard to Global Military-Economic Activity (1973—1982)." Economics and the Mathematical Methods. 54.3 (2018).:104-110. DOI: 10.31857/S042473880000679-5
APA	Stsepinsky Y. (2018). Forecasting and Analytical Research of Cemi in Regard to Global Military-Economic Activity (1973—1982). Economics and the Mathematical Methods. vol. 54, no. 3, pp.104-110 DOI: 10.31857/S042473880000679-5

References

1. Dadayan V.S. (1981). Global Economic Models. Moscow: Nauka (in Russian).

2. Dadayan V.S. (1989). Orbits of the Planetary Economy. Moscow: Nauka (in Russian).

3. Ovchinskiy V.S., Larina E.S. (2014). Cyberwars XXI Century. Moscow: Knizhniy Mir (in Russian).

4. Richardson L.F. (1956). Mathematics of War in Foreign Politics. In: “The World of Mathematics” Norman J.R. (ed.). N.Y.

5. SIPRI Yearbook (1983). Available at: http://www.sipriyearbook.org/ (accessed: March 2018).

6. Stsepinskiy Y.E. (1977). Program Means and Data Organization in Information Systems. Moscow: Nauka (in Russian).

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