- PII
- S042473880000616-6-1
- DOI
- 10.7868/S0000616-6-1
- Publication type
- Article
- Status
- Published
- Authors
- Volume/ Edition
- Volume 52 / Issue 2
- Pages
- 129-140
- Abstract
- In the article was propossed mathematical model of self-organization of the labor force. This model is based on the balance equations for the number of employed and unemployed in different sectors of economy. The unemployed are divided by their last place of employment. The mathematical model was transformed to a more convenient form for numerical analysis. The tasks of analyzing the dynamics of the labor force and forecasting of the number of employed and unemployed were set for the model. Methods for estimation of the exogenous variables of the model were proposed. The theoretical results were applied for solving the specific problems. In the above examples was used the real data of the number of employed and unemployed at the labor market of the Russian Federation for 2011-2013 years. The Federal State Statistics Service provides this information. The forecast of the labor force by the economy sectors for 2013 was made on the data for 2011 and 2012 years. The calculated data was compared with statistical data for the same 2013 year. It was shown that the error of the forecast of the number of employed by the economy sectors of the Russian Federation does not exceed 2%. We concluded that the proposed model is adequate.
- Keywords
- labor market, self-organization, dynamics of the labor force, forecast, vector presenta- tion of the model
- Date of publication
- 01.04.2016
- Year of publication
- 2016
- Number of purchasers
- 1
- Views
- 1066
RAS Social ScienceЭкономика и математические методы Economics and the Mathematical Methods
- ISSN (Print) 0424-7388
- ISSN (Online) 3034-6177
ANALYSIS OF LABOR FORCE DYNAMICS IN INTERSECTORAL MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF THE LABOR MARKET
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Higher Attestation Commission
At the Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation
Scientific Electronic Library