- PII
- S042473880000616-6-1
- DOI
- 10.31857/S0000616-6-1
- Publication type
- Article
- Status
- Published
- Authors
- Volume/ Edition
- Volume 52 / Issue 1
- Pages
- 95-111
- Abstract
- The forecasting model of development of the commodity market is presented, allowing, in a scenario mode to change value of the import duty and investments into production, and thus to achieve in the long term optimum states for indicators of demand, supply and the price in the domestic market. In model the effects of import duty and investments on key parameters of the commodity market are considered. Some practical possibilities of the model are shown on the example of the meat market (beef, pork and poultry meat markets). Optimization problems are solved by calculating the value of import duty and the investment required: to double domestic production of beef, for maximum ratio between the volume of domestic pork production and imports, to assess the value of investments, allowing to keep production at the same level while reducing the import duty on poultry to 20%.
- Keywords
- commodity market, import duty, investments, development forecast
- Date of publication
- 01.01.2016
- Number of purchasers
- 1
- Views
- 810